| Abstract | Nogomet je neupitno najpopularnija sportska igra današnjice. Uspjeh u nogometu, s obzirom na kompleksnost igre, rezultat je nekoliko različitih komponenti. Glavni cilj ovog rada bio je utvrditi i analizirati utjecaj tehničkih performansi klubova na uspješnost u UEFA-inoj Ligi prvaka u grupnoj fazi natjecanja 2023./2024. godine. Uzorak sačinjava ukupno 96 utakmica grupne faze između 32 kluba koji su podijeljeni u 8 grupa, 4 kluba po grupi. Uzorak varijabli u ovom istraživanju može se podijeli na dva seta: zavisne (indikatori uspjeha; ishod utakmice, plasman u grupi, prolaz grupe i osvojeni broj bodova) i nezavisne varijable (indikatori tehničkih performansi; postignuti golovi, primljeni golovi, udarci, udarci u okvir gola, udarci izvan okvira gola, driblinzi, ulasci u protivničku trećinu, ulasci u protivničkih 16m, posjed lopte (%), ukupna dodavanja, preciznost dodavanja, uspješna dodavanja, kratka dodavanja, srednja dodavanja, duga dodavanja i dodavanja unazad). Podaci su preuzeti s „UEFA Champions League” službene stranice. Detaljnom statističkom analizom (deskriptivna statistika, Kolmogorov - Smirnovljev test, Kruskal - Wallis test i Spearman R koeficijent korelacije), prikazano je koji parametri značajno utječu na uspjeh, te razina njihove značajnosti (nivo statističke značajnosti postavljen je na p < 0.05). Dobiveni rezultati pokazali su da svih 16 indikatora tehničkih performansi značajno utječu na uspjeh u modernom nogometu (p < 0.05). Potrebno je izdvojiti parametre distribucije lopte (posjed lopte, ukupna dodavanja, uspješna dodavanja, kratka, srednja i duga dodavanja), koji su pokazali uvjerljivo najznačajnije utjecaje na uspjeh (Korelacija odabranih varijabli i broja osvojenih bodova: ukupna dodavanja p = 0.01, r = 0.47, preciznost dodavanja p = 0.01, r = 0.50, uspješna dodavanja p = 0.01, r = 0.49 i kratka dodavanja p = 0.01, r = 0.47). Rezultati ovog istraživanja potvrđuje da je napadački nogomet, sa velikim brojem udaraca, dodavanja, ulazaka u protivnička osjetljiva područja i visokim posjedom, lopte krucijalan za uspjeh. Istraživanje je provedeno na uzorku UEFA lige prvaka, najelitnijeg nogometnog natjecanja na svijetu, time možemo zasigurno potvrditi vjerodostojnost i valjanost dobivenih rezultata. Ovo istraživanje potvrđuje značajnost tehničkih parametara i njihov utjecaj na uspjeh. Dobiveni rezultati mogu poslužiti trenerima i stručnjacima u svrhu kvalitetnijeg planiranja i programiranja trenažnih procesa, strategije te u konačnici realizacije utakmice. |
| Abstract (english) | Football is undoubtedly the most popular sport today. Success in football, given the complexity of the game, results from several different components. The main aim of this study was to determine and analyze the impact of technical performance indicators of clubs on their success in the group stage of the UEFA Champions League for the 2023/2024 season. The sample consists of a total of 96 matches from the group stage, involving 32 clubs divided into 8 groups, with 4 clubs per group. The variables in this study can be divided into two sets: dependent (success indicators; match outcome, group placement, advancement from the group, and total points earned) and independent variables (technical performance indicators; goals scored, goals conceded, shots, shots on target, off-target shots, dribbles, entries into the opponent's third, entries into the opponent’s penalty area, ball possession (%), total passes, passing accuracy, successful passes, short passes, medium passes, long passes, and backward passes). Data was sourced from the official UEFA Champions League website. Through detailed statistical analysis (descriptive statistics, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Kruskal-Wallis test, and Spearman’s R correlation coefficient), the study revealed which parameters significantly influence success and their level of significance (statistical significance level set at p < 0.05). The results showed that all 16 technical performance indicators significantly affect success in modern football (p < 0.05). It is important to highlight the parameters related to ball distribution (ball possession, total passes, successful passes, short, medium, and long passes), which exhibited the most significant impacts on success (Correlation of selected variables and total points earned: total passes p = 0.01, r = 0.47; passing accuracy p = 0.01, r = 0.50; successful passes p = 0.01, r = 0.49; and short passes p = 0.01, r = 0.47). This study confirms that attacking football, characterized by a high number of shots, passes, entries into sensitive areas of the opponent, and high ball possession, is crucial for success. Conducted on the sample of the UEFA Champions League, the most elite football competition in the world, the credibility and validity of the results can be assured. This research underscores the importance of technical parameters and their impact on success. The findings can serve coaches and experts in better planning and programming of training processes, strategies, and ultimately in match execution. |
